If you’ve read or heard the term positive ev betting you may know that it’s a term often used by sharp sports bettors.
Positive EV Betting also know as value betting is a term used to described bets that are profitable in the long term.
i.e. If we could repeat the same bet over and over again we should make a profit over a large number of bets.
If you’re new to the world of positive ev betting check out my article explain the betting strategy below.
If you understand the basics of the strategy and want to know how to find positive ev bets we’ll be going over three ways to find positive ev bets.
How to find Positive EV Bets Manually
Although there are a host of available software tools that will find positive EV bets for you. There are some advantages to finding value bets manually:
- It can help you understand the process of calculating positive EV bets
- You can find positive EV bets in exotic prop markets and smaller sports that are only available when searching manually.
In order to find these profitable bets manually we’re going to be comparing odds at ‘Soft Sportsbooks‘ such as FanDuel and Draftkings against the odds available at ‘Sharp Sportsbooks‘ such as Sporttrade or Novig.
Step 1: Open or Login to a Sharp Sportsbook Account
This first thing that we need to do is open up and log into a sharp sportsbook such as Sporttrade or Novig. If you don’t have access to a sharp sportsbook in your state trying using an odds comparison service such as Unabated’s Oddsscreen
Step 2: Devig the odds from the Sharp Sportsbook.
In order to calculate positive ev bets we need to take the odds from a sharp sportsbook and remove the vig that has been applied.
We can do this using a No Vig Calculator. This calculator will work out the true odds for the given betting market.
Step 3: Compare the True Odds against the Soft Sportsbook Odds.
Once we have the true odds for a sharp sportsbook betting selection. We can then look through the soft sportsbook markets for odds that are Higher than the true odds.
Any odds that are higher than the true odds should be profitable long term and be a positive ev bet.
Step 4: Check Our Bet and Calculate Our Bet Stake
Once we have found a bet where the soft odds are higher than the sharp sportsbooks true odds. We first want to double check that the odds have not changed at the sharp sportsbook and then we want to calculate the how much money we should bet.
We can do both of these things using the Positive Ev Betting Calculator.
The calculator will check the odds from both the soft sportsbook and the sharp sportsbook to calculate the profit margin and the expected value of the bet.
The calculator will also calculate the optimal amount to bet given our bankroll using Kelly Staking theory.
Using Free Software to find Positive EV Bets
As you can see, trying to find positive ev bets manually can be time consuming and tedious.
However, you don’t need to fork out for expensive positive ev betting software to try and streamline the process.
There are many free sports betting tools we can use to find positive ev bets faster and more frequently.
The first tool we can use is the Unabated Odds Screen which is free to use. You just need to register for a free account with unabated.
The odds screen displays the odds available at a number of sportsbook including the ‘best line’ available from all selection at the left hand side of the odds screen.
This can help us scan through positive ev bets quicker.
However, If we want a completely done for us software tool we can use the free tool at Surebets.com
Surebets is a european sports betting website but it does cover some US sportsbooks such as Fanduel, Draftkings, Tipico, Bet365, Betway, Betsafe.
As well as European sportsbooks that use the same odds as some American sportsbooks. For example William Hill and Ceasars Sportsbook share the same odds (at the time of writing).
The tool has it’s limitation and the odds may not be as fast as some of the premium positive ev betting tools but it’s great for bettors looking to test out and dip their toes into positive ev betting.
Maximizing your profit with Premium Positive EV Betting Software
In order to make the largest profits from positive ev betting you really need to just find and place more positive ev bets.
Not only does this increase your overall expected value (and expected profit) it reduces the probability of our real profit being wildly different from our expected value.
The more bets we place the larger the degree that the ‘Law of Large Numbers’ come’s into play. This essentially means that all the losing bets and winning bets even out to the expected value. The more bets we place the higher the probability our actual profit will be closer to the theoretical expected profit.
How to find Positive EV bets using Positive EV Betting Tools
There are a number of premium positive ev betting tools that cover American Sportsbooks. Some cover more sportsbooks and markets than other but are priced more expensively due to this.
| No of Sportsbook Odds | Price Per Month | Trial Links | Extra Features | |
| Oddsjam | 100+ US Sportsbooks Covered | $199/m | 7-Day Free Trail | – Integrated Profit Tracking – Custom Email Notifications |
| Unabated | 22 US Sportsbook Covered | $199/m | 5-Day $30 Trial | |
| OddsShopper | 14 US Sportsbook Covered | $49.95/m | up to 2-Months Free |
Oddsjam Positive EV Betting Tool
Oddsjam is hands down the best positive EV betting tool for the US market right now. Covering almost every sportsbook in the US with real time odds.
They are the tool if you want to make serious money from positive ev betting. Rather than relying on the odds from a single sharp sportsbooks to determine if a bet has positive expected value. Their propriety positive ev tool creates a true probability from a number of sharp sportsbooks both in the USA, Europe and Asia ensuring you get the most accurate estimates of the positive ev.
Additionally, the positive ev betting tool will track and update your bets as winning and losing bets so your profit are automatically tracked on their free bet tracker tool.
Another great feature of the Oddsjam tool is the ability to set your own notification filters. So you will be notified when a bet meets your criteria.
For Example, you could set up to get notified of positive ev bets above 4% profit margin. You can then get on with something else while the tool search for you in the background.
The Oddsjam positive EV bets tool is $199/month or $166/month when billed annually and includes their Arbitrage Betting Tool.
Unabated Edge Rusher Tools
Oddsjam’s main competitor is unabated who offer a host of sports betting tools, simulators and calculators.
Their positive ev betting tool is called edge rusher and prop rusher. The tool works in a similar manner to Oddsjam’s tool. However, it does have a much more limited range of sportsbook odds with around 22 sportsbooks compared to over 100 with Oddsjam.
Unabated do provide some additional tools and simulators to help you find positive ev bets. Such as a fast college sports news and injury feed.
However, at $199 per month I would recommend oddsjam at this current moment in time.
OddsShopper Positive EV Tool
Positive ev betting tools are very important when trying to find positive ev bets. However, they can be expensive!
Fortunately, OddsShopper provide an affordable option compared to the previous companies discussed. The monthly subscription to their premium tools is just $49.95 per month.
Their tool covers 14 major US sportsbooks.
Additionally you have the option to receive up to 2 months of free access by registering with sportsbooks via their code.
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